I cannot read your company's mind. Real signals exist: a named role, approved headcount, and measurable criteria. Ask plainly, plan for two outcomes, and protect energy while you wait.

Short answer. I cannot know, and neither can any list on the internet. Real signals exist: a named role, approved headcount, and agreed criteria, and you can ask for them directly. While you wait, plan for two outcomes and look after your sleep and pride.
In short:
I do not know. Your manager and the budget set promotions, aligned to business needs and the calls their leaders and HR make, not me or any checklist you scroll through at midnight hoping for proof. We can narrow the fog. Start by naming what promotion means in your week, because companies pull different levers and labels often hide the change you would actually feel on Monday morning.
Job titles confuse people. In one team, Senior means a narrow product line with a mentor nearby; in another, it means a messy portfolio and carrying numbers you must defend in rooms you have not entered yet. What you can decide and what you are paid matters more than the label. Write the kind of promotion you care about in plain words: title shift, salary change, added authority, and clearer decision rights.
Keep that two-line definition handy for reviews and skip-levels; it also steadies your own head. It shrinks noise. With it, you can compare the path being offered against the change you want, and decide whether to keep building your case here or prepare a clean outside option. That choice is power.

Some signs carry weight. If your manager names a specific role, links it to approved headcount or budget, and books time to map criteria with you, that points to a live process. Praise sprinkled near quarter-end is noise. Keep your ear on money and decision gates, and ask where the decision sits and who must agree.
Vague lines mean nothing. After praise or soon, ask what will change and who will sign it, and where the request sits in the approval chain. Then ask by what month, and write it down in a short note. Later, compare movement against words; drifting timelines matter more than adjectives.
Be plain and specific. Try saying, I would like to understand the path to X role here and what evidence you would need from me, then we can agree how to track progress across the next reviews. If you worry about sounding demanding, send it first as an email so the other person can think before you meet. That slows heat.
After you talk, send a short note that names the role and criteria, plus the next checkpoint. Small paper trails stop memories from arguing later. For a wider view, request a skip-level or ask HR how cases like yours move here, and keep it brief and factual. Facts travel better.
If the answer is not now, ask what would change it. Ask for two crisp examples of work they would point to later, then calendar a date to revisit before you leave the room. Silence fills itself with terrible stories. Measure with dates and artefacts instead of guessing.
Maybe answers drain people. Set an update cadence with your manager, keep it on the calendar, and treat the gaps as time to build evidence or rest, instead of rereading every shrug in chat and inventing meanings that hurt. Structure contains spirals. Pick two measures for this month and name one habit you will stop so the week has edges.
Nights can be rough. If your head starts rehearsing performance conversations at 2 am, try the ideas in How do I sleep better when anxiety will not switch off?; they fit a wired body that refuses to power down. Short fuses show up in the day. When they do, How do I control anger and stress? gives small moves you can use between meetings.
Keep outside options warm. Touch your CV once a week and have one conversation a fortnight with someone who does work you respect, so a no inside this company does not erase your power elsewhere. Exploring honours your future. It also steadies your next ask.
Safety matters before careers. If work feels unsafe in any way, raise it through formal channels and ask trusted people outside the immediate chain to witness where they can, and, where policy allows, put notes in writing so patterns can be seen. For immediate risk or a crisis, Tele-MANAS is India's free 24/7 mental health helpline on 14416. Free can beat pride.
Here is my scope so you can decide whether this is the right room. In Bengaluru, I am a counsellor, practising since 2015. I work with adults roughly 25 to 45, in English and Hindi, over video and in person in Bengaluru. The room is quiet and private.
I am not a doctor and I cannot prescribe; when medication might be worth considering, I refer to a psychiatrist. If you need quick access to a psychiatrist, DocVita lists them, and Mindtalk / Cadabam's have 24/7 psychiatric and inpatient infrastructure in Bengaluru. Amaha runs a psychiatric hospital in Bengaluru, and its therapist tier requires an RCI-recognised M.Phil in Clinical Psychology. If you prefer to compare many named practitioners, TalktoAngel or Practo are directories.
Write your own lines. To stay, decide what would make this year worthwhile and which meetings you must be in, so your time lines up with the case you plan to make. For leaving, set a quiet pace that does not damage your days here and keeps references clean. Two clear plans reduce passive waiting.
You may realise the role on offer asks for a version of you that you do not want to be. If that is in play, read Is it ok to not want a career?; it helps name what you actually care about beyond whatever a ladder suggests. You are allowed to choose depth or steadiness. Status can wait.
If you want to talk it through with a counsellor, pick someone and try a first hour. This piece is written in 2024; if you are wondering about practicalities, How often do people go to therapy? lays out patterns people use to fit counselling around real life. Tonight, write two questions for your next check-in and two signals you will watch for. Keep it on a sticky note.
What are real signs I will get promoted?
Look for a named role tied to approved headcount. Written criteria you can measure. A sponsor beyond your manager. Expanded scope with authority and decision rights. Generic praise or soon tells you nothing useful. Ask what will change and who must agree. Then write it down in a short note after the meeting so memories cannot wander.
How do I ask my boss about a promotion?
Be direct and steady. Try: I would like to understand the path to X role and what evidence you would need from me. Then agree how you will track progress and by when you will revisit. Follow with a short email that records decisions and dates so memories cannot drag you around later.
Should I start job hunting while I wait?
Keeping options open is sensible. Touch your CV weekly and talk to people outside your company at a steady, humane pace. Protect your current commitments and any confidentiality obligations. A live outside option steadies you for either a yes or a no, and it can make conversations inside clearer.
Can counselling help me get a promotion?
Counselling does not control company decisions. Sessions can help you name what you want, organise your evidence, rehearse the ask, and decide what to do if the answer is maybe again. That often means clearer plans, quieter nights, and less rumination in the gaps. No guarantees, just a steadier process while you do the work.
Are you a doctor? Can you prescribe medication?
In Bengaluru, I am a counsellor, practising since 2015. I am not a doctor and I cannot prescribe. When medication might be worth considering, I refer to a psychiatrist. If you need a psychiatrist quickly, DocVita lists them, and Mindtalk / Cadabam's have 24/7 psychiatric infrastructure in Bengaluru. For crisis or urgent risk, call 14416.
Written by Satlaj Sachan, a counsellor in Bengaluru working Book a first conversation.